Topics to keep in mind

Think about expert elicitation (Bayesian belief networks) model for next time (conceptual framework for a quantitative approach): habitat quality nodes, enemy nodes, human effect nodes, management nodes - transition probabilities that combine expert opinion with known relationships.  Nate has done two workshops like this, and could give a talk at our next meeting.  Problem that these aren't spatially explicit.

Species distribution of milkweeds - get occurrence records to inform model of habitat quality?

Monitoring program metadata

summary paragraph

location

what data are available on request

years covered -

stage covered

contact information/website

summary of population trends or other summary graphs

map of survey sites

Funding sources

Biodiv informations

Env Biol panel

ISE

NBII

NFWF

USGS - target NPs and refuges

• Recommendations for improving data collection protocols and filling gaps (eg CNDDB)
• Encouraging continued sampling from citizen volunteers
• Relationships with observer locations and sightings – observer gaps or monarch gaps
• Accuracy of citizen collected data
• Protocol and location appropriateness
• Data on reared vs wild monarchs
• Gap – disease in CA

Ideas for data analysis

• Winter tree density and height – use crown data from satellite images

Biology questions

• Winter breeding: changes over time and effects of weather
• Central vs eastern flyway
• Wind directions
• Role of local (southern US) overwintering reproductives

Questions identified as interesting, but not chosen for clusters during meeting 1

·         What factors most influence migration success of individuals

·         Characterize stage-specific fecundity and mortality and impact on population dynamics (stage-based modeling and IBM

·         Long term trends and causes of peaks